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Which method helps compare zone configurations under different incident pattern scenarios?

Fixed scenario

Ignoring incident patterns

One KPI only

Monte Carlo simulations

The main idea is to compare how different zone configurations perform when incident patterns vary. Monte Carlo simulations let you model a broad set of possible incident scenarios by drawing random samples from probability distributions for how incidents occur, their locations, durations, and severities. For each simulated scenario, you evaluate how the zone configurations would respond, then repeat this thousands of times. By aggregating the results, you obtain average performance metrics and the uncertainty (like confidence intervals) for each configuration, making it possible to see which setup tends to be more robust across many possible realities.

This approach is especially helpful because real-world incidents are unpredictable. Using Monte Carlo simulations, you can compare configurations not just on a single guess, but on how they perform across a wide range of plausible patterns, capturing both typical outcomes and the extremes. The other options fall short because a fixed scenario only tests one snapshot, ignoring variability; ignoring incident patterns fails to reflect real uncertainty; and relying on a single KPI misses other important dimensions of performance.

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